Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 417.043906 478.976903 549.469561 636.174074 740.671073 863.465869 1020.036578
2024-12-15 326.385843 404.633329 502.846604 637.248585 819.695551 1063.715465 1423.561822
2024-12-22 272.840580 354.539425 463.559277 623.433147 858.545647 1202.892990 1768.151997
2024-12-29 240.437652 324.325091 441.914332 624.471008 911.782378 1367.360340 2191.845290
2025-01-05 211.893716 294.302091 414.402881 609.633165 934.581316 1485.737338 2572.453569
2025-01-12 192.179957 273.962674 397.392486 606.644521 973.587035 1637.321038 3061.477318
2025-01-19 169.846089 246.846890 366.135538 574.911181 956.045679 1681.266701 3347.753007
2025-01-26 163.228337 243.081137 370.963019 604.153838 1052.906452 1966.726173 4275.127630
2025-02-02 159.032819 242.518450 380.643976 643.029347 1175.756657 2340.062043 5598.416192
2025-02-09 149.200895 231.573284 371.220242 644.859965 1223.908064 2562.181833 6634.857885
2025-02-16 137.694313 216.689472 353.209290 627.419783 1227.393667 2679.266562 7422.712328
2025-02-23 128.092711 204.233227 338.244697 613.878444 1236.850531 2814.355149 8352.799950
2025-03-02 123.674543 200.713711 339.721579 635.122743 1333.706713 3220.782294 10586.574128
2025-03-09 117.292538 193.147694 332.861341 637.977789 1387.811365 3530.123062 12729.260055
2025-03-16 109.658829 182.635658 319.226299 624.020563 1396.438039 3706.361422 14454.229933
2025-03-23 104.405062 176.094854 312.711609 625.068242 1444.922835 4030.354941 17277.732293
2025-03-30 98.017398 166.921792 300.052717 610.212129 1446.932211 4199.268696 19463.746712
2025-04-06 93.350947 160.690109 292.816833 607.219980 1482.282935 4504.792144 22930.780187
2025-04-13 86.414377 149.601012 274.602948 575.449263 1427.050011 4448.409710 23876.594946
2025-04-20 85.444271 150.110675 280.785782 604.726343 1563.429426 5218.115869 32477.252153
2025-04-27 85.202641 152.030322 290.158270 643.648260 1742.021064 6281.618985 46700.968311
2025-05-04 82.037638 147.795056 285.630475 645.481082 1798.799373 6823.227262 57354.082479
2025-05-11 77.686006 140.846473 274.475356 628.019976 1785.020284 7010.468461 64314.133496